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| #1106476 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 AM 09.Sep.2022) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Earl Advisory Number 27 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062022 1100 AM AST Fri Sep 09 2022 ...EARL FORECAST TO BECOME A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON SATURDAY... ...RIP CURRENT THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.2N 61.0W ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM ENE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 955 MI...1540 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Bermuda Weather Service has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Bermuda. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Earl was located near latitude 34.2 North, longitude 61.0 West. Earl is moving toward the northeast near 22 mph (35 km/h) and is forecast to accelerate further toward the northeast today. Earl is then forecast to slow down considerably Saturday night through Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight fluctuations in intensity are possible today. Earl is expected to complete its transition to a powerful hurricane-force extratropical low on Saturday and then steadily weaken through early Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 961 mb (28.38 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Earl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml WIND: Gusty winds are expected across the Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland over the weekend after Earl becomes a post-tropical low. SURF: Swells generated by Earl are affecting Bermuda and portions of the U.S. East Coast and are expected to reach Nova Scotia and Newfoundland tonight and on Saturday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky |
