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| #1106637 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 AM 10.Sep.2022) TCMAT1 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062022 1500 UTC SAT SEP 10 2022 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.9N 53.0W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 25 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 80SE 50SW 30NW. 50 KT.......110NE 180SE 110SW 180NW. 34 KT.......300NE 360SE 350SW 320NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 570SE 630SW 430NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.9N 53.0W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.4N 53.3W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 44.4N 51.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 180NW. 34 KT...300NE 330SE 330SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 45.0N 51.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 100NW. 34 KT...220NE 220SE 270SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 45.2N 50.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 150SE 250SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 45.4N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 45.3N 48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 150SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 45.3N 45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 100SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 45.5N 40.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 46.5N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.9N 53.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
