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#110690 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 13.Sep.2006) TCMAT2 HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 2100 UTC WED SEP 13 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 57.5W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 57.5W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 57.7W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 28.5N 57.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 30.2N 55.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 31.5N 54.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 32.5N 53.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 34.0N 52.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 37.0N 48.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 41.5N 40.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 57.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN |