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| #110771 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 AM 14.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 0900 UTC THU SEP 14 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 34.7W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 34.7W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 33.8W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 14.1N 37.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 15.2N 39.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.5N 41.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 75SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.8N 43.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.0N 45.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 75SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 22.0N 48.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 24.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 34.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
