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| #110818 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 14.Sep.2006) TCMAT2 HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 1500 UTC THU SEP 14 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 55.9W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..160NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 55.9W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 56.2W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 30.7N 54.9W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 31.8N 53.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 32.6N 53.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 33.6N 52.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.5N 49.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 39.5N 43.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 43.0N 33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N 55.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN |
