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| #1108579 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:03 PM 23.Sep.2022) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Fiona Advisory Number 38 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072022 500 PM AST Fri Sep 23 2022 ...POWERFUL FIONA EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO ATLANTIC CANADA TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.6N 61.0W ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM SSE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Nova Scotia from Hubbards to Brule * Prince Edward Island * Isle-de-la-Madeleine * Newfoundland from Parson`s Pond to Francois A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * St. Andrews New Brunswick to west of Hubbards Nova Scotia * West of Brule Nova Scotia to Cap Madeleine Quebec * Anticosti Island * Sheldrake Quebec to north of Parson`s Pond Newfoundland * Boat Harbor to Hare Bay Newfoundland * Francois to St Lawrence Newfoundland A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Boat Harbor Newfoundland to West Bay Labrador A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fiona was located near latitude 39.6 North, longitude 61.0 West. Fiona is moving toward the north-northeast near 40 mph (65 km/h). A slower north-northeast or northward motion is expected through Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Fiona will approach Nova Scotia later today, move across Nova Scotia and into the Gulf of St. Lawrence on Saturday, and then across Labrador and over the Labrador Sea by late Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Fiona is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Although gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, Fiona is expected to be a powerful hurricane-force cyclone when it moves across Atlantic Canada. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 940 mb (27.76 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Fiona can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in portions of the hurricane warning area in Canada late tonight or early Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in portions of the tropical storm warning area in Canada later today. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Labrador on Sunday. RAINFALL: Fiona is forecast to produce the following rainfall: Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, and western Newfoundland: 3 to 6 inches (75 to 150 mm), with local maxima of up to 10 inches (250 mm). This rainfall could result in areas of flooding, some of which may be significant in nature. Labrador and eastern Quebec: 2 to 5 inches (50 to 125 mm). Eastern New Brunswick: 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm). STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding within the warning areas in Atlantic Canada in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Fiona are affecting the northwestern Bahamas, the eastern United States coast, and Bermuda. These swells will reach Atlantic Canada this evening. The swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch |
