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| #110863 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 14.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 2100 UTC THU SEP 14 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 37.6W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 45SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 45SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 37.6W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 37.0W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.8N 39.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 45SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.0N 42.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 45SE 45SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.3N 44.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 75SE 60SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.5N 46.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 110SE 75SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.5N 49.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 110SE 75SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 22.5N 51.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 25.5N 54.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 37.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN |
