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#110896 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:31 PM 14.Sep.2006) TCMAT2 HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 0300 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 54.3W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..160NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 54.3W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 54.6W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 31.4N 53.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 32.1N 52.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 32.9N 51.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 34.0N 50.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 37.5N 46.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 41.5N 35.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 43.0N 21.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N 54.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |