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| #1109391 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 AM 28.Sep.2022) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092022 0900 UTC WED SEP 28 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CHOKOLOSKEE TO ANCLOTE RIVER...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY * DRY TORTUGAS A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SUWANNEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO FLAMINGO * TAMPA BAY * LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM BIG PINE KEY WESTWARD TO KEY WEST * DRY TORTUGAS * FLAGLER/VOLUSIA LINE TO THE MOUTH OF THE ST. MARY'S RIVER * ST. JOHNS RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...MAYABEQUE...AND MATANZAS * INDIAN PASS TO THE ANCLOTE RIVER * ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS * FLAMINGO TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER * FLAMINGO TO CHOKOLOSKEE * LAKE OKEECHOBEE * FLORIDA BAY * BIMINI AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLANDS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO EAST OF BIG PINE KEY * FLORIDA BAY * MOUTH OF ST. MARY'S RIVER TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 82.9W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......120NE 130SE 100SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 270SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 82.9W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 82.9W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 26.7N 82.4W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.7N 81.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...240NE 130SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.7N 81.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...320NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 29.8N 80.7W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...280NE 120SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 31.6N 80.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 33.6N 81.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 36.1N 82.1W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 82.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 28/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN/BERG |
