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| #1109791 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:54 PM 29.Sep.2022) TCDAT1 Post-Tropical Cyclone Eleven Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112022 500 PM AST Thu Sep 29 2022 The structure of the system this afternoon has continued to go downhill. The circulation fidelity has become increasingly diffuse and stretched out in a north-to-south fashion. What little deep convection remains is displaced about 100 n mi to the north-northeast of the center and also lacks sufficient organization to be considered a tropical cyclone. Therefore, this is the final advisory and the system is now considered to be a post-tropical remnant low, albeit one that is likely to open up into a surface trough at any time. In general the poorly-defined center still appears to be mostly on track, moving to the northwest at 320/12 kt. This general motion is expected to continue until the elongated circulation completely degenerates into a surface trough over the central Atlantic basin. A 12 hour point is mainly provided for continuity purposes, which lies along the fairly tightly clustered consensus aids. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/2100Z 19.1N 38.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 30/0600Z 20.6N 39.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Papin |
