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| #1110810 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 AM 06.Oct.2022) TCMAT3 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132022 1500 UTC THU OCT 06 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER WESTWARD TO RIOHACHA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * COLOMBIA FROM THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER TO RIOHACHA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INTERESTS IN SAN ANDRES...PROVIDENCIA...AND THE COASTS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DISTURBANCE. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY OR ON FRIDAY. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 67.0W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 67.0W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 66.3W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 11.8N 69.0W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 12.3N 71.9W...NEAR GUAJIRA PENINSULA MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 12.9N 74.9W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 13.0N 78.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 12.9N 80.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 12.8N 82.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 13.8N 86.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 15.6N 91.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 67.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 06/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
