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| #111129 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:55 AM 16.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 0900 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 44.7W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 180SE 180SW 225NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 44.7W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 44.3W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.8N 46.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.7N 47.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.6N 49.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.4N 50.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 23.0N 53.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 25.0N 56.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 28.0N 58.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 44.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
