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#1111820 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 13.Oct.2022)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142022
2100 UTC THU OCT 13 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALVARADO TO CIUDAD DEL CARMEN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 93.5W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OR 155 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 70SE 50SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 45SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 93.5W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 93.7W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 20.1N 93.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.1N 93.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.3N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.5N 94.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 93.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART