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| #111252 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 PM 16.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 2100 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 46.3W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB EYE DIAMETER 45 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 180SE 180SW 225NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 46.3W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 45.9W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.0N 47.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.9N 48.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.8N 49.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.6N 51.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 24.0N 53.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 26.0N 56.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 29.0N 57.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 46.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN/LANDSEA |
