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| #1114268 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:57 PM 31.Oct.2022) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152022 0300 UTC TUE NOV 01 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE BORDER WITH NICARAGUA TO PUNTA CASTILLA. THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAY ISLANDS * BELIZE COAST FROM NORTH OF PUERTO BARRIOS TO SOUTH OF CHETUMAL A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAY ISLANDS * HONDURAS FROM THE BORDER WITH NICARAGUA TO PUNTA CASTILLA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ENTIRE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS * GUATEMALA FROM BORDER WITH HONDURAS TO PUERTO BARRIOS * MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA HERRERO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LISA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 79.1W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 79.1W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 78.8W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.0N 81.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.4N 83.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.8N 86.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.9N 88.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.8N 89.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.8N 91.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 17.0N 93.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 79.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 01/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
