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| #1114543 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 PM 02.Nov.2022) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152022 0300 UTC THU NOV 03 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM CHETUMAL TO PUERTO COSTA MAYA...AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTH OF PUERTO COSTA MAYA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF BELIZE * CHETUMAL TO PUERTO COSTA MAYA...MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LISA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 89.1W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 89.1W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 88.6W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.7N 90.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.1N 92.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.8N 94.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.6N 94.9W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.2N 95.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.2N 95.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 19.5N 94.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 89.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 03/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI/BROWN |
