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#1114576 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:42 AM 03.Nov.2022)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152022
0900 UTC THU NOV 03 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LISA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 90.1W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 90.1W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 89.6W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.9N 91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.4N 93.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.2N 94.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.9N 95.2W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.2N 95.2W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.8N 94.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 90.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 03/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN