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| #1114744 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 AM 04.Nov.2022) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Lisa Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152022 1000 AM CDT Fri Nov 04 2022 ...LISA MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.1N 94.6W ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM W OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in eastern Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of Lisa. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Lisa was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 94.6 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A gradual turn toward the north at a slower forward speed is expected by Saturday morning. Lisa or its remnants are then forecast to stall and move very little through the remainder of the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight strengthening is possible today. Lisa is forecast to begin weakening by Saturday morning and will likely become a post-tropical remnant low by Saturday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The rainfall threat associated with Lisa is expected to continue to diminish. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible across portions of southeastern Mexico through this afternoon. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky |
