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| #111644 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 18.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 2100 UTC MON SEP 18 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 51.1W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT.......100NE 65SE 30SW 80NW. 34 KT.......175NE 150SE 100SW 125NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 240SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 51.1W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 50.7W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 24.6N 52.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT...100NE 65SE 30SW 80NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 24.7N 54.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT...100NE 65SE 30SW 80NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 24.8N 56.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.0N 57.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 29.5N 58.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 33.0N 57.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 40.0N 50.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 51.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
