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| #111866 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 19.Sep.2006) TCDAT2 HURRICANE GORDON DISCUSSION NUMBER 36 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 500 PM EDT TUE SEP 19 2006 GORDON HAS BEEN ABLE TO MAINTAIN A REMARKABLY WELL-ORGANIZED CLOUD PATTERN AND IN FACT...THERE IS A CLOSED EYEWALL ON THE LATEST AMSU PASS AT 1728 UTC...AND AN EYE FEATURE ON THE LATEST IR IMAGE. EVEN THOUGH T-NUMBERS HAVE BEGUN TO COME DOWN...INTENSITY ESTIMATES SUPPORT 75 KNOTS. GORDON IS STILL DETACHED FROM THE COLD FRONT TO THE NORTH BUT IT SHOULD BEGIN ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION SOON...AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. THERE IS NOT MUCH TO ADD TO THE MOTION EXCEPT THAT THE HURRICANE IS RACING EASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS AND WILL CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK STEERED BY THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. GORDON IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AZORES TONIGHT AS A HURRICANE AND WILL BE NEARING PORTUGAL AND NORTHWEST SPAIN LATE WEDNESDAY AS A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OR BORRASCA...AS THEY CALL IT IN SPAIN. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/2100Z 37.9N 31.6W 75 KT 12HR VT 20/0600Z 38.1N 26.0W 65 KT 24HR VT 20/1800Z 39.0N 18.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 21/0600Z 42.1N 10.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 21/1800Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM $$ |
