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| #111873 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:58 PM 19.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 54.1W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 55NE 45SE 35SW 45NW. 50 KT....... 95NE 70SE 55SW 95NW. 34 KT.......190NE 140SE 115SW 165NW. 12 FT SEAS..375NE 300SE 240SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 54.1W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 53.7W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 25.2N 55.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 50SE 35SW 45NW. 50 KT... 95NE 70SE 60SW 95NW. 34 KT...195NE 140SE 120SW 165NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.7N 56.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 85SE 65SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 165SE 130SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 28.9N 56.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 55SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...210NE 190SE 135SW 155NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 32.0N 56.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 75SW 95NW. 34 KT...215NE 190SE 150SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.0N 51.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...120NE 105SE 85SW 100NW. 34 KT...215NE 205SE 175SW 190NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 45.3N 41.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 49.0N 30.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 54.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z $$ FORECASTER MUSHER |
