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| #111944 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:32 PM 19.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 0300 UTC WED SEP 20 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 54.8W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 25SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 150SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..375NE 300SE 225SW 350NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 54.8W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 54.3W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 25.5N 55.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 25SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 150SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 27.5N 56.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 30.0N 56.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 32.7N 56.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 39.0N 50.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...125NE 150SE 75SW 125NW. 34 KT...225NE 250SE 150SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 45.0N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 49.0N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 54.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z $$ FORECASTER COBB/PASCH |
