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| #112049 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 AM 20.Sep.2006) TCDAT2 TROPICAL STORM GORDON DISCUSSION NUMBER 39 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 1100 AM EDT WED SEP 20 2006 GORDON HAS WEAKENED BUT IT IS RETAINING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. IT STILL HAS A CORE AND DEEP CONVECTION JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. HOWEVER...A STRONG COLD FRONT IS ALREADY VERY NEAR THE CORE OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND GORDON SHOULD BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY. INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 50 KNOTS AND ONLY A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED BEFORE IT BECOMES ABSORBED BY THE COLD FRONT IN A DAY OR SO. GORDON IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS BUT A GRADUAL TURN TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED AS THE CYCLONE BECOMES MORE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE FLOW AHEAD OF A STRONG MID-LATITUDE WAVE. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE NEAR NORTHWESTERN SPAIN BUT BY THEN...THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE IN THE PROCESS OF BEING ABSORBED BY THE COLD FRONT. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/1500Z 37.8N 20.9W 50 KT 12HR VT 21/0000Z 39.5N 15.5W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 21/1200Z 45.0N 11.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 22/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
