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#1140095 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 AM 20.Jun.2023) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023 500 AM AST Tue Jun 20 2023 ...BRET CONTINUES WESTWARD AND EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN... ...INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.7N 44.7W ABOUT 1130 MI...1815 KM E OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bret was located near latitude 11.7 North, longitude 44.7 West. Bret is moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general motion is expected to to continue for the next several days. On the forecast track, the system should be approaching the Lesser Antilles by late this week. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and Bret could become a hurricane in a couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Bret can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch |