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#1140381 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 PM 21.Jun.2023) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032023 2100 UTC WED JUN 21 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 53.9W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 40SE 0SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 53.9W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 53.3W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.5N 55.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 10SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.8N 58.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 10SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.2N 61.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 30SE 10SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.5N 65.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 40SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.7N 68.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.9N 72.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 53.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 22/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |