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| #1140472 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:57 AM 22.Jun.2023) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042023 0900 UTC THU JUN 22 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 41.1W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 41.1W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 40.5W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 11.3N 42.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 12.0N 45.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.1N 47.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.5N 50.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.0N 52.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.6N 55.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 20.9N 60.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 23.3N 64.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.9N 41.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI |
