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| #1144291 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 PM 18.Jul.2023) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052023 2100 UTC TUE JUL 18 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 39.2W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 70SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE 120SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 39.2W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 39.2W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 34.1N 39.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 33.7N 40.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 33.8N 41.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 34.3N 42.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 35.2N 44.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 36.5N 46.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 40.5N 49.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 46.0N 47.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.9N 39.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
