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#1148777 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 PM 21.Aug.2023)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082023
2100 UTC MON AUG 21 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 70.1W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 70.1W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 69.9W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 14.3N 70.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.3N 71.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.2N 71.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.1N 70.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.6N 70.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 22.2N 68.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 23.6N 66.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 25.6N 65.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 70.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 22/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN