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#1148954 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:47 PM 22.Aug.2023) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Franklin Intermediate Advisory Number 8A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082023 200 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2023 ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING FRANKLIN... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.5N 71.4W ABOUT 230 MI...375 KM SSW OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of the Dominican Republic has upgraded the Tropical Storm Watch to a Tropical Storm Warning for the entire northern and eastern coast from the Haiti border eastward and southward to Isla Saona. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Dominican Republic entire south coast from Haiti border eastward to Cabo Engano * Dominican Republic entire north coast form Haiti border eastward to Cabo Engano * Haiti entire south coast from Anse d`Hainault eastward to the Dominican Republic border A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Turks and Caicos Islands A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in Haiti and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Franklin was located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 71.4 West. Satellite images indicate that a new center may be forming farther west, and a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is current investigating Franklin`s wind field to determine if that is the case. Franklin is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the northeast by Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Franklin is expected to approach the southern coast of Hispaniola today, cross the island on Wednesday, and then emerge over the southwestern Atlantic waters late Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast before Franklin reaches Hispaniola. Some weakening is likely while the storm moves across Hispaniola. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Franklin can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml. RAINFALL: Franklin is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches, with storm total maxima of 6 inches, across Puerto Rico and Vieques into Thursday. Across portions of Hispaniola, rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated higher amounts up to 15 inches, are expected through Wednesday. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin within the warning area tonight and continue into Wednesday, and are possible within the watch area in Hispaniola beginning Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Turks and Caicos Islands late Wednesday and Wednesday night. STORM SURGE: A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level along the immediate coast near and to the east of where the center makes landfall in Hispaniola. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Berg |