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#1149097 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 23.Aug.2023)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082023
1500 UTC WED AUG 23 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 70.9W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 70.9W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 71.1W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.5N 70.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.1N 69.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 22.8N 68.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 23.1N 67.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.4N 66.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 24.3N 65.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 27.3N 66.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 31.1N 67.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 70.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 23/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG