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#1149139 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:48 PM 23.Aug.2023)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082023
2100 UTC WED AUG 23 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 70.6W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 70.6W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 70.7W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 21.4N 70.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 22.5N 68.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 23.0N 67.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.3N 66.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 23.8N 65.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 24.6N 65.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 28.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 31.6N 67.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 70.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 24/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN