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#1149238 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 24.Aug.2023)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082023
1500 UTC THU AUG 24 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 69.9W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 30SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 69.9W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 70.0W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 22.6N 68.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 23.0N 67.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.4N 66.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 23.9N 66.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.0N 66.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.6N 67.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 30.0N 68.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 34.5N 67.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 69.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN