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| #1150200 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:57 PM 29.Aug.2023) TCMAT5 HURRICANE IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023 0300 UTC WED AUG 30 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 84.5W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT.......120NE 140SE 50SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 84.5W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 84.7W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.0N 83.9W...ON COAST MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 160SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 32.3N 81.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 15NW. 34 KT... 90NE 170SE 50SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 33.5N 78.6W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 160SE 80SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.8N 75.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 33.5N 72.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT...120NE 70SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.9N 71.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...130NE 50SE 80SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 32.0N 69.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 31.0N 68.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N 84.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 30/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
