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| #1150265 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:45 AM 30.Aug.2023) TCMAT5 HURRICANE IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023 0900 UTC WED AUG 30 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 84.1W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 150SE 50SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE 135SW 135NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 84.1W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 84.5W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 31.0N 82.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 160SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 33.1N 79.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 170SE 50SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 33.8N 76.1W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 130SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 33.3N 72.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...170NE 80SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 32.4N 70.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 70SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 31.5N 69.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...130NE 60SE 80SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 30.7N 68.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 30.5N 66.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N 84.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 30/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
