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| #1150331 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 30.Aug.2023) TCMAT5 HURRICANE IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023 1500 UTC WED AUG 30 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 83.2W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......150NE 200SE 80SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 120SE 90SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 83.2W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 83.6W FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 32.4N 81.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 0NW. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 15NW. 34 KT...140NE 190SE 80SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 33.8N 77.6W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.9N 74.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...170NE 110SE 140SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 33.2N 71.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...170NE 80SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.4N 69.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...160NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.9N 68.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 50SE 50SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 31.4N 66.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 32.5N 63.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N 83.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 30/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
