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| #1151423 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 PM 05.Sep.2023) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023 2100 UTC TUE SEP 05 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 41.8W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 41.8W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 41.1W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 13.7N 43.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.4N 46.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.2N 48.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.2N 51.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.2N 53.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.3N 56.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 70SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 20.4N 60.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 22.2N 64.3W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 41.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
