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Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 44 (Milton) , Major: 44 (Milton) Florida - Any: 44 (Milton) Major: 44 (Milton)
 
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#1151488 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 AM 06.Sep.2023)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023
0900 UTC WED SEP 06 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 44.6W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 44.6W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 44.0W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.3N 46.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.1N 48.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.0N 51.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.0N 53.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.1N 56.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.2N 58.4W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 21.1N 62.4W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 22.7N 65.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 44.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI