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#1151594 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 PM 06.Sep.2023)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023
0300 UTC THU SEP 07 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 47.7W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 47.7W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 47.1W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.1N 49.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.0N 51.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.1N 54.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.1N 56.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.1N 58.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.8N 60.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 80SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 22.0N 63.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 23.0N 66.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 47.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG