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#1151664 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:03 AM 07.Sep.2023) TCMAT3 HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023 1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 50.0W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 50.0W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 49.4W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.1N 51.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.2N 54.0W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.2N 56.1W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.1N 58.1W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.9N 59.8W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N 61.2W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 22.6N 63.7W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 23.6N 66.0W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 50.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY |