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#1151712 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 PM 07.Sep.2023) TCMAT3 HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023 2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 51.3W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 953 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......120NE 110SE 70SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 51.3W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 50.7W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.6N 53.0W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.7N 55.2W MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.7N 57.2W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.6N 59.0W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.3N 60.5W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 22.0N 61.8W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 23.1N 64.3W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 24.0N 66.4W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 51.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY |