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#1151813 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 AM 08.Sep.2023) TCMAT3 HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023 0900 UTC FRI SEP 08 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 53.5W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 926 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 110SE 50SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 90SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 53.5W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 53.0W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.6N 55.1W MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 190 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.6N 57.1W MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.5N 58.8W MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.2N 60.2W MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.9N 61.5W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 22.4N 62.7W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 23.3N 65.1W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 24.4N 67.1W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 53.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |