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#1151918 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 PM 08.Sep.2023)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023
2100 UTC FRI SEP 08 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 55.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 55.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 55.0W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.7N 56.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.6N 58.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.3N 60.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.9N 61.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 22.5N 62.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 23.0N 63.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 23.7N 66.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 25.1N 67.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 55.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN