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| #1151954 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 PM 08.Sep.2023) TCMAT3 HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023 0300 UTC SAT SEP 09 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 56.5W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 210SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 56.5W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 56.0W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.0N 57.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.8N 59.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N 60.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 22.5N 63.2W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.8N 64.2W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 23.5N 66.4W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 25.3N 67.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 56.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
