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| #1151990 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 09.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 0900 UTC SAT SEP 09 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 36.9W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 36.9W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 36.4W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.6N 38.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.7N 39.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 22.8N 40.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.2N 41.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.7N 41.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 27.4N 41.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 90SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 31.2N 42.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 34.5N 43.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 36.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS |
