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#1152133 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 AM 10.Sep.2023)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023
0900 UTC SUN SEP 10 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 60.5W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 60SE 30SW 80NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE 80SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 60.5W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 60.2W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 22.0N 61.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 22.8N 62.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 23.3N 64.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 55SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 23.6N 65.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 55SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 23.9N 66.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 24.5N 66.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 140SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 26.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 30.2N 68.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 60.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI