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| #1152173 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 10.Sep.2023) TCMAT3 HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023 1500 UTC SUN SEP 10 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 61.0W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 20SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 30SW 80NW. 34 KT.......140NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 240SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 61.0W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 60.8W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.3N 62.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 23.0N 63.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 45SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 23.4N 64.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 23.8N 65.6W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 24.2N 66.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 24.7N 67.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 27.3N 67.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 31.3N 67.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 61.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
