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| #1152360 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 PM 11.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 2100 UTC MON SEP 11 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 39.8W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT.......110NE 70SE 30SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 150SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 39.8W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 39.8W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.5N 39.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.7N 40.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 32.6N 40.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 25NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 34.1N 41.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 35.2N 41.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 36.0N 41.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 37.1N 40.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 37.0N 41.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 39.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER TAYLOR/BLAKE |
