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| #1152420 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 PM 11.Sep.2023) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Lee Advisory Number 27 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132023 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 11 2023 ...LEE IS A LARGE MAJOR HURRICANE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TURN NORTHWARD LATER THIS WEEK... ...HAZARDOUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT BEACHES ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC ALL WEEK... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.9N 64.8W ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM NNW OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Lee. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lee was located near latitude 23.9 North, longitude 64.8 West. Lee is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A slow west-northwest to northwest motion is expected during the next day or two, followed by a turn toward the north by midweek. On the forecast track, Lee is expected to pass near, but to the west of Bermuda in a few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Lee is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some slight strengthening is forecast in the next day or so, followed by gradual weakening. Lee remains large with hurricane-force winds extending outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extending outward up to 185 miles (295 km). Saildrone 1064, located about 40 miles south-southeast of Lee`s center, reported a sustained wind of 77 mph (124 km/h) and a wind gust of 105 mph (170 km/h) in the last few hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 948 mb (28.00 inches). Saildrone 1064 also reported a minimum pressure of 964 mb (28.46 inches) in the last few hours. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Lee can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml SURF: Swells generated by Lee are affecting portions of the Lesser Antilles, the British and U.S. Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the Bahamas, and Bermuda. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Dangerous surf and rip currents have begun to affect portions of the southeastern U.S. coast, and these conditions are forecast to spread northward along much of the U.S. East Coast during the next day or two. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin |
