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#1152541 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:59 PM 12.Sep.2023) TCMAT3 HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 2100 UTC TUE SEP 12 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 66.4W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT.......110NE 100SE 60SW 70NW. 50 KT.......150NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. 34 KT.......210NE 200SE 150SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..390NE 300SE 360SW 390NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 66.4W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 66.2W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 25.4N 67.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. 34 KT...220NE 210SE 150SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 26.7N 67.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 130NW. 34 KT...230NE 210SE 170SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 28.6N 68.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 85NE 70SE 55SW 70NW. 50 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 130NW. 34 KT...230NE 220SE 170SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 30.7N 68.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 65SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 140NW. 34 KT...250NE 240SE 180SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 33.4N 67.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. 34 KT...250NE 240SE 190SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 36.4N 66.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW 150NW. 34 KT...270NE 250SE 210SW 250NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 42.8N 66.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 47.1N 64.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 66.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 13/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z $$ FORECASTER GALLINA/BLAKE/BANN |