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| #1152574 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 PM 12.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 0300 UTC WED SEP 13 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 39.7W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......230NE 150SE 120SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 280SE 300SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 39.7W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 39.6W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 34.0N 40.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...210NE 160SE 130SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 35.1N 40.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 36.1N 40.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.9N 40.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 37.3N 40.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...190NE 150SE 130SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 37.5N 40.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 140SE 120SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 38.4N 42.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 40.6N 42.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N 39.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY |
